Thursday, April 28, 2005

NObama

I have decided to start prospecting the 2008 candidates. I did it last time and came up with a Dean/Clark or Dean/Edwards ticket, but was mistaken. I think that The fall of Howard Dean was utterly random, and could not been seen coming. If he had won the nomination, he would have come out strong enough to beat Bush because he was a better contrast to Bush than Kerry was. Dean is also a better speaker and would have had more leverage to work with in debates. So I am going to go out on a limb and call for either a Dean/Ford or a Dean/Lincoln ticket. Not Hillary. Not Obama. I am however, aware of the greatest flaw in my predictions: I not only weigh their feasibility, but also who I want to win. I like Clinton and Obama, but they are both unlikely Presidents. Hillary because of her history and husband, Obama because of his inexperience. Obama could be a VP candidate, but he won't. Not yet. Clinton couldn't be. I chose Dean, because I truly have no faith in Edwards. He brought absolutely nothing to the ticket last time, at least nothing more than any democrat would have. He is good looking and young and southern... and boring. Why Lincoln or Ford? Five reasons: #1 They are the furthest up the list of candidates that would be willing to start out in the passenger seat, and we all saw what happened last time with how much weaker a ticket is if filled by two former rivals. #2 Diversity. It is time. #3 They will ACTUALLY bring the some of the south (that's right Edwards, I'm talking to you). This criteria is what kept Russ Feingold off my ticket. He would be good, but you need a southerner if you want to beat a modern republican. #4 They have names of former Presidents, and that should count for something. This is bad news for Obama, because if they win (and let's hope they do) the next Presidential candidate would be a woman or a racial minority. I am not sure that the country will elect a black/black or woman/black ticket. He is young and there will be time for him, but I doubt it is as soon as everyone thinks.
But don't forget, my secret love is really the "big" DK!

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sorry, but the sound bite of Dean screaming in Iowa will haunt his days forever. He is head of the DNC because he knew he had lost any chance of being president. And I think he is doing a great job - getting the democrats to take back faith in politics and provide somewhere for people of faith with moderate views to go. There is a book out I want to get and read - I thinnk it is Faith /Religion & Politics - but the subtitle says it best - What the Right gots wrong and what the Left doesn't get.
I am beginning to think though that it will be hard for any member of Congress to get elected because their voting records can be so manipulated to look bad - perhaps that is why in recent history it has been govenors that have ascended to the Oval office.
However, I do know that it is 44 months and counting until W is gone!! Now you know the definition of eternity!

Anonymous said...

Two things:
1 - I think Obama is a 2016 prospect as VP. Depending on what happens in 2008, maybe even 2012. He's got that Welstone vibe!

2 - You underestimate the importance of being southern as a P/VP candidate these days. After the last election many of my neighbors/coworkers/stangers who talk politics in the grocery line said that they would have voted for an Edwards/Kerry ticket but voted Bush because they refused to vote for a Kerry/Edwards ticket.

Anonymous said...

5'7" and vegan. Maybe I can sneak some meat into his food and get him to grow a couple inches with all the hormones...

With your brains and my position, I bet we could make Spock-man a viable candidate. Start scheming.